Tropical Storm Alvin Surges in the Pacific—But What Happens Next?

Tropical Storm Alvin Surges in the Pacific—But What Happens Next?

Tropical Storm Alvin has officially become the first named storm of the 2025 hurricane season, forming off Mexico’s southwestern coast in the Eastern Pacific early Thursday morning. According to the National Hurricane Center, Alvin’s maximum sustained winds reached 60 mph as it tracked northwest at about mph, situated roughly 670 miles south of the tip of Baja California.

Forecasters expect Alvin to strengthen slightly through early Friday, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the storm encounters cooler waters and increased wind shear. The system is projected to remain a tropical storm through Saturday before downgrading to a tropical depression by Sunday Importantly, tropical-storm-force winds are not expected to impact mainland Mexico or Baja California, though some regions could experience heavy rainfall.

Alvin’s early arrival is notable, as the average date for the season’s first tropical storm is June. While the National Hurricane Center does not expect Alvin to reach hurricane strength, meteorologists remind residents that the Eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May to November 30, and more activity is likely in the coming months.

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