Hurricane Season 2025: Why Forecasters Are Sounding the Alarm—But Not for the Reason You Think

Hurricane Season 2025: Why Forecasters Are Sounding the Alarm—But Not for the Reason You Think

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June, and experts are warning that this year could be more active than usual. The National Hurricane Center and NOAA project a 60% chance of an above-normal season, with forecasts calling for to named storms, to hurricanes, and to major hurricanes (Category or higher) For comparison, an average season typically sees named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes.

Currently, the season is off to a quiet start, but meteorologists are monitoring a low-pressure system forming off Florida’s east coast. The National Hurricane Center estimates only a 10% chance of this system developing into a tropical or subtropical storm as it moves northeast at 10–15 mph Even if it doesn’t reach storm status, the system could bring gusty winds and rough surf to parts of Florida’s coastline this week.

This year, hurricane forecasting tools have been upgraded. NOAA’s Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) now offers improved predictions for storm tracks, intensity, and rapid intensification events, aiming to provide earlier and more accurate warnings New technology, including small aircraft drones and underwater gliders, is also being deployed to gather real-time data and fill critical gaps in hurricane research.

With ocean heat content running high and atmospheric conditions favoring storm development, forecasters urge residents along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts to stay alert and prepare early for what could be a busy hurricane season.

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