The Colorado Rockies are on the verge of their first series sweep of the 2025 season as they face the Miami Marlins in a Wednesday afternoon showdown at loanDepot Park. After back-to-back wins over Miami—6-4 on Monday and 3-2 on Tuesday—the Rockies (11-50) are looking to turn a rare hot streak into a statement, despite a season marked by struggles, especially on the road where they are just 5-28.
Miami (23-36) enters the game as the betting favorite, listed at -154 on the moneyline, but the Marlins have dropped three straight and are just 14-19 at home this year Oddsmakers set the over/under at runs, with most predictions expecting a high-scoring contest.
Pitching Matchup.
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Rockies: Kyle Freeland (0-8,.72 ERA).
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Marlins: Cal Quantrill (3-5,.84 ERA).
Both starters have struggled this season, but advanced metrics suggest each has been a bit unlucky, hinting at potential improvement. Freeland’s xFIP sits at.65, while Quantrill’s is.44, indicating their ERAs may not tell the full story.
Key Stats and Trends.
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The Marlins have won six of the last ten meetings between these teams, but Colorado has momentum and seeks its first sweep of the year.
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Miami’s offense ranks 20th in MLB, while the Rockies are at the bottom in both batting average and run production.
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The Rockies have been underdogs in 58 games this year, winning just.2% of those contests.
Prediction
Most analysts and models give Miami a 57-60% chance to win, but the Rockies’ recent surge and the Marlins’ inconsistency make this matchup far from a lock. The consensus pick leans toward a close game with the total likely to go over runs, with a projected score of Marlins, Rockies 4.
First pitch is set for:10 p.m. ET. All eyes are on Miami—will the Rockies pull off the sweep, or can the Marlins bounce back at home?
